我国高技术产业的技术生命周期研究--基于S曲线视角

摘要

In this paper,the S -curve model is used to analyze the technology development trajectory and life cycle characteristics of various segments of industrial.The results showed that the life cycle of high-tech industry becomes shorter and many technologies of high-tech industry are about to or have entered a mature stage.%文中运用S曲线模型分析高技术各细分产业技术发展轨迹与生命周期特征。结果表明：我国高技术产业的技术生命周期较短，大部分技术领域即将或已进入成熟期。