利用面板向量自回归系统，分析中国大陆29个省、市、自治区1985年~2012年的面板数据，分析经济增长、能源消费与产业结构之间的相互动态调整关系。主要结论：三者之间存在着长期稳定的关系，产业结构调整对能源消费的作用大于经济增长对能源消费的作用；在短期内，产业结构变化对能源消费变动的影响具有滞后效应；能源消费变动对产业结构的影响大于对经济增长的影响，产业结构升级对经济增长的促进作用存在一定的时滞期。%In this paper, using the panel vector autoregressive system, the author analyzes the 29 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions of mainland China in 1985 ~ 2012 panel data, analysis, energy consumption and economic growth mutual dynamic adjustment of the relationship between the industrial structure. Main conclusions: there is a long-term and stable relations between the three elements; industrial structure adjustment of energy consumption is greater than the effect of economic growth to energy consumption; in the short term, the influence of the industrial structure change to energy consumption has a lagging effect; Energy consumption change on the impact of industrial structure is greater than the impact on economic growth and industrial structure upgrade in promoting effect on economic growth is when there is some demurrage.
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