投资、产业结构与经济增长之间的动态关系研究

摘要

In this paper,we study the dynamics among investment,industrial structure and e-conomic growth in China based on the VEC model.There are long-term dynamic equilibriums found among them.The main factors affecting the China economic growth are domestic invest-ment and the upgrading of industrial structure.The adjustment of industrial structure has brought a negative impact on economic growth.The study confirm that the industrial structure adjustment is the cause of economic growth and domestic investment growth.Domestic invest-ment growth is the cause of the adj ustment of industrial structure.%采用 VEC 模型，考量投资、产业结构与经济增长之间的动态关系，结果表明三者之间存在长期的动态均衡关系，国内投资和产业结构调整对中国经济增长有明显的影响，产业结构调整对经济增长带来了一定的负面影响，结果证实产业结构调整是引起经济增长和国内投资增长的原因，国内投资的增长也是引起产业结构调整的原因。