快速公交系统引导城市发展的协调规划模型

摘要

According to the change of the traffic demand of a new town with transit oriented development(TOD), the development stages were analyzed, which were defined as a cultivation period, rapid development period and matuation period. Bus rapid transit (BRT) is one of the better support system for TOD. In order to maintain BRT ridership sustainable development, its different deployment phases were analyzed which coordinated the TOD stages. The system dynamic model was used to analyze the interaction between TOD and BRT which simulated the TOD development process and BRT configuration, in order to make the two sides coordinate development.%为了使快速公交系统的客流得到可持续发展，和根据城市新区公交导向发展的客流变化分析公交引导城市发展的发展阶段，针对公交导向城市发展的阶段以及它支撑快速公交系统的程度，分析其设施配置方案的不同级别，建立快速公交系统和公交导向发展的协调规划模型，分析公交导向发展和快速公交系统间的互动关系，利用模型模拟公交导向城市发展的进程和快速公交系统的设施配置，使二者协调发展。