全球粮食价格波动的结构性成因分析

摘要

Global food price has been affected by supply-demand relationship in the market,but the pow-er which shapes the market structure confines the influence of supply-demand and dominates the long trends of the global food price.If the characteristics and the purpose of the dominated power in the mar-ket have been figured out,the basic trend of global food price can be predicted.The most competitive body can change the structure of the inner country market and promote this structure to the world market though national power and run for their interests.Now the private capital class of America controls the world food market and runs for the monopoly profits in world food market,thus the price of global food market demonstrates a high and turmoil situation.%市场供求关系影响全球粮食价格，但塑造市场结构的主导权力限制着供求关系并决定了全球粮食市场价格的长期趋势，把握住塑造粮食市场结构主导权力的特征及其目的，就能判断出全球粮食价格趋势的基本走向。全球粮食市场中最有竞争力的主体可以凭借对国内市场结构的塑造并通过国家权力将这种市场结构推广到世界市场中以满足自身的利益需求。目前全球粮食市场体系中的主导权力是美国的私营资本。私营资本对垄断利润的追求主导着目前全球粮食市场的基本走向，因而全球粮食市场价格呈现出一种持续的高位震荡局面。