浙江县域经济发展影响因素空间分异研究

摘要

There have been obvious differences in the economic development level among counties in Zhejiang Province, and the spatial difference is the essential cause of unbalanced development of the regions. In this paper, we apply GWR to analyze factors affecting the economic development in some counties of Zhejiang, and compare with OLR and conduct spatial regression analysis. The study suggests that the factors affecting the county's economic development are directly related to spatial distribution. The investment per capita in fixed assets, the scale industrial output value per capita and total exports per capita impact on economic development show a positive correlation. The agricultural machinery power per capita and the number of authorized patent applications reveal a positive correlation, and both have a positive impact on economic development but are also found to have a negative one. Thus, the counties (cities) should give more attention to the factors which may impact the economic development more significantly.%浙江县域经济发展差异明显，探究其空间分异成因是破解区域不均衡发展问题的关键。以浙江69县(市)为研究单元，在普通线性回归(OLR)模型的基础上，运用地理加权回归(GWR)方法研究浙江县域经济发展及其影响因素的空间非平稳特性。研究发现：浙江县域经济发展与其影响因素关系的空间分异特征明显，即人均固定资产投资、人均规模工业总产值和人均出口总额对经济发展的影响存在边际递增效应，而人均农业机械总动力和专利申请授权量对经济发展有正面也有负面影响，并随地理位置的不同而发生变化。