转型背景下我国OFDI产业结构调整效应研究--基于面板模型和灰色关联理论的实证分析

摘要

“入世”以来，我国与世界市场的联系越来越密切，对外直接投资迅猛发展，逐步由对外直接投资大国向对外直接投资强国过渡，这在一定程度上为我国进行国内产业结构调整提供了一个有利的外部环境。本文基于2010～2012年我国对外直接投资存量的行业结构及国内产业结构的相关数据，采取面板数据模型估计和灰色关联理论的研究方法对我国对外直接投资的产业结构调整效应进行了实证分析，研究发现，我国三次产业对外直接投资对国内产业结构调整存在着显著的影响，并且在技术密集型和劳动密集型行业这种效应表现地更为明显，进而为我国经济转型和结构调整创造了有利条件。%〔Abstract〕 Since the entry of “WTO” , our country has more close relationship with world markets , foreign direct investment devel-oped rapidly , transits from OFDI country with great scale to OFDI powerful country gradually , which provides a favorable external environ-ment for our country to adjust domestic industrial structure in some extent . Based on the data of industry structure of our country's OFDI stock and domestic industry structure in 2008~2012 , making an empirical analysis on the adjustive effect of domestic industry structure with the method of Panel Data model and grey correlation theory , results show that the three industry's OFDI has significant influence on do-mestic industrial structure adjustment , and the effect is more apparent in the labor intensive and technology intensive industry , thus it pro-vides positive condition for our country's economy transformation and structure adjustment .