本文从环境污染综合评价、污染物达标排放及综合利用两个角度构建评价指标体系对全国及29省市1989～2012年的环境承载力进行度量，并采用多指标面板数据的聚类分析方法、以环境承载力为视角对我国29省市进行重新的区域划分。研究显示：（1）新的区域聚类分组与传统的地理区位划分具有明显的相异性，这意味着应设计更具针对性的有区域差异的环境保护和治理政策。（2）从聚类分组的区域环境承载力指数值的动态变化来看，2000年以来各区域环境承载力明显恶化且波动较大。第一、二、三区域数值呈现接近且交叉的状态，具有趋同性。第四区域环境承载力一直呈现低位波动，这些省区应成为提升我国环境承载力的重点监控省份，以缩小我国环境承载力的区域差异。%This paper constructed evaluation index system from two angles of environmental pollution comprehensive assessment and pollutant discharge according to the standards . The system measured environment bearing capacity of the national and 29 provinces from 1989 to 2012 . It divided the regions from the view of environmental bearing capacity by clustering analysis of multivariable panel data . The study showed that :(1 ) the new regional clustering is obviously different from the traditional geographical division , which means that poli-cymakers should design more targeted regional different policies in environmental protection and governance from the view of environmental bearing capacity . (2 ) from the value of environmental bearing capacity , the regional environmental bearing capacity deterioration is obvi-ous and volatile after 2000 . The values of environmental bearing capacity of the first , second and third regions are close and cross , and have convergence . The fourth regional environmental bearing capacity has been showing volatility in the low present ;these provinces should become key provinces to enhance China's environmental bearing capacity , to reduce the differences of the regional environmental bearing capacity , and to homogenize environmental carrying capacity while achieving sustainable economic growth .
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