农户绿色蔬菜种植意愿及影响因素实证分析

摘要

This paper analyzed the growing green vegetables intention and influence factors among vegetable growers in Yanglou Town,Ruzhou County,Henan Province based on the binary logistic model.The results show that the local growers have a very low intention of growing green vegetables,among whom the male growers take a greater proportion,whose average age is old,the degree of education is quite low,and the growth scale is small.The technological mastery,the market demand forecast,the market supply expectation and the growth cycle have a significant effect on the growing intention.%通过对河南省汝州市杨楼镇蔬菜种植户进行问卷调查,建立二元Logistic回归模型,分析了该地区农户绿色蔬菜的种植意愿及影响因素.结果表明,该地区菜农男性占较大比重,平均年龄较大,受教育程度低,种植规模小,绿色蔬菜种植意愿较低;绿色蔬菜种植技术掌握程度、对市场需求的预期、对市场供给的预期以及种植时长对菜农的种植意愿具有显著的影响作用.