1995—2010年广东全要素生产率的动态变化研究——基于DEA模型的Malmquist指数方法

摘要

Using the DEA Model-based Mahnquist index method, this paper analyzes the dynamic changes in Guang- dong＇s Regional Total Factor Productivity （TFP） during 1995-2010. It is found that the Regional TFP increased by 0.66% from 1995 to 2010, mainly due to technical improvement but that alteration in technical efficiency would have a somewhat adverse effect. So far most of the Regional TFP has continuously improved, and the TFP in Western Guangdong has a better perform- ance than that in Eastern Guangdong, Northern Guangdong or the Pearl River Delta. It concludes, nonetheless, that the regional economic growth in Guangdong is in low efficiency.%本文利用1995-2010年广东及其各地区面板数据（panel data）,采用DEA模型的Malmquist指数方法,分析了广东及其各地区在1995—2010年期间全要素生产率的动态变化特征。通过研究发现,研究期间广东全要素生产率增加了0.66%,增长动力主要来源是技术改进,而技术效率变化起着拖累作用;广东大部分地区全要素生产率持续改善;分区域来看,广东西部地区全要素生产率改善优于东部地区、北部山区和珠三角;目前广东各地区经济增长还处于投入增长阶段,利用效率整体较低。