农民企业家成长与县域经济发展关系实证--来自广东省的面板数据

摘要

This article tries to take added value of township enterprises which reflects peasant entrepreneur growth and GDP which stands for county economic development as variables, and, by using PVAR model, analyzes the relationship between the growth of entrepreneurs and the county economic development from a macro perspective with the statisfical data from counties of Guangdong Province. The panel cointegration test shows that long-run equilibrium relationship exists between the county GDP and the added value of township enterprises. While the panel VAR estimate indicates that the added value of township enterprises has a significant positive impact on the county economy, On the contrary, the county gross domestic product also conducts an impact of a certain degree on the added value of township enterprises. The impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis further confirms such kind of relationship, which demonstrates the relationship of mutual promotion and interaction between the growth of entrepreneurs and county economic development. Measures should be taken to optimize the exogenous county environmental, and enhance endogenous motivation to economic growth of the peasant entrepreneur so as to promote healthy development and positive interaction with each other.%　　以广东省2003—2010年反映农民企业家成长指标的乡镇企业增加值和反映县域经济综合发展指标的国内生产总值为变量，运用PVAR模型对农民企业家成长与县域经济发展的关系进行分析。面板协整检验表明，县域国内生产总值与农民企业家经营企业增加值之间存在长期均衡关系；面板 VAR 估计表明，农民企业家经营企业增加值与县域国内生产总值具有相互的正向影响；脉冲响应函数和方差分解分析进一步证实了这一关系。说明农民企业家成长与县域经济发展之间存在着正向的相互促进关系，应优化县域外生环境，增强农民企业家经济增长内生动力，促进二者健康发展和良性互动。