安徽省出口贸易与经济增长关系的实证研究

摘要

根据安徽省统计局发布的1992－2013年度统计数据，构建了出口贸易与经济增长关系的计量经济模型，并运用协整检验和Granger因果关系检验进行实证分析，结果表明：安徽省出口贸易与经济增长之间存在着长期的均衡关系；出口贸易是拉动安徽省经济增长的重要因素之一。在此基础上，结合安徽省出口贸易面临的问题，提出相应的政策建议。%Based on the statistical data from 1992 to 2013 released by bureau of statistics of Anhui ,it con-structed the econometric model of the relationship between export trade and economic growth , and used the cointegration test and Granger causality test to carry out empirical analysis .After detailed study , the results showed that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between export trade and economic growth of Anhui province , and the export trade is an important factor in stimulating economic growth of Anhui province .On this basis ,combining with the face of the problem of export trade in Anhui province , it put forward corresponding policy suggestions in the paper .