反蛙人火箭炮的射击效率建模与仿真

摘要

To evaluate the fighting effectiveness of anti-frogman rocket,the damage theory of anti-frogman kill bomb was analyzed based on the peculiarity of anti-frogman rocket weapon system. Two different firing-modes were proposed,and the frogman was regarded as the cuboid and cylinder.The models of kill probability for underwater target were established.The calculation and simulation of the kill probability of anti-frogman rocket in different shoot ways were realized with Monte-Carlo method by case.The factors of target depth,fuze time and reaction time influence shooting effect.The simulation results offers reference for using anti-frogman rocket.%为评定反蛙人火箭炮作战效能，根据反蛙人火箭炮武器系统的特点，通过分析反蛙人杀伤弹的毁伤机理，提出对目标提前点射击和对目标当前点射击的方式，将蛙人目标等效为长方体和圆柱体，建立了不同射击方式下的杀伤目标概率模型，为评定反蛙人火箭炮射击效率提供了方法。通过想定模拟，利用蒙特卡洛法实现了各射击方式下反蛙人火箭炮毁伤概率的仿真计算。结果表明：目标深度、引信延时、反应时间等因素影响射击效果，仿真结果对于如何运用反蛙人火箭炮有一定参考意义。