长三角城市群旅游经济差异及位序规模体系研究

摘要

Taking tourism income of 26 cities in Yangtze River Delta as measure indexes,Standard deviation,Variation coefficient,Gini coefficient,Herfindah index,primacy index,and Double-logarithm regression analysis as calculation methods,this paper analyzes the difference of tourism economy among the cities from 2008 to 2015.The research suggests that:the absolute disparity of tourism economy expanded and the relative disparity narrowed.The primate city was stable,while the Primacy ration showed a downward trend and the polarization effect of tourism was weakening.After log-regression analysis,the rank-size of tourism economy has changed from primacy distribution type to centralized distribution type.The attraction of tourism resources,the level of economic development,the industrial structure and the tourism reception ability were the important reasons for the formation of tourism economic difference in Yangtze River Delta.%选取长三角城市群26个地市旅游总收入为指标,运用标准差、变异系数、基尼系数、赫芬达尔指数、首位度以及对数回归分析,探究了2008-2015年长三角城市群的旅游经济差异和位序规模演变状况.研究发现,旅游经济绝对差异不断扩大,相对差异总体下降;首位城市稳定,首位度呈现下降趋势,旅游经济发展较好的地市极化效应在减弱;旅游收入位序规模双对数分析结果表明长三角城市群旅游经济发展态势由首位型转化为集中型;旅游资源吸引力、经济发展水平、产业结构、旅游接待能力等因素是形成长三角城市群旅游经济差异的重要原因.