基于能耗视角的区域运输系统演化机理

摘要

From the perspective of energy consumption, the evolution mechanism for regional transport sys-tem is studied.A regional transport energy consumption evolution equation system based on Haken model is established using the self-organization theory and method.By using non-residual analysis method, the contribution rate of energy consumption factors of transportation system is analyzed.The results show that the proportion of transport structure and energy intensity contribute more greatly to system power consump-tion changes.Through the application of the regional transport system evolution model, transport samples from 16 provinces and cities in China are studied.The results show that the energy transport structure fac-tor is the order parameter of regional transport system energy consumption evolution.To reduce energy con-sumption in the transport area, it is proposed that transportation structure should be optimized, the energy consumption of various modes of transport be reduced and transportation organization management level be improved.%从能耗视角出发,针对区域运输系统演化机理进行研究.运用自组织理论和方法,建立了基于哈肯模型的区域运输系统演化方程.利用无残差分析法对运输系统能耗因素贡献率进行分析,发现运输结构比例和能源强度对系统能耗变化贡献较大.应用区域运输系统演化模型,以中国16个省市运输业为样本进行研究,结果表明,运输结构能耗系数是区域运输系统演化的序参量.为降低区域运输系统能耗,应不断优化运输结构,努力降低交通工具的能耗,以及提高运输组织管理水平.