亚洲男篮制胜因素及中国男篮失利原因的量化分析

摘要

以2013年男篮亚锦赛前8名的所有比赛为研究对象，采用文献资料法、录像观察法和数理统计法统计比赛技术，得知亚洲男篮致胜因素特征主要受到5个因素影响：2分球投篮效率、防守封盖、2次进攻能力、防守能力以及对抗下技战术发挥稳定性能力。参照对亚洲男篮的分析结果，对男篮失利的原因进行了深入分析，提出针对性建议。%Based on the quantitative analysis of technical statistics for the first 8 teams in 2013 Asian basketball championship, this paper presents the winning factors for Asian basketball championships using the document-data, video observation and mathematical statistics methods. Five factors are revealed to affect Asian basketball’s winning, including the efficiency of 2-point shoot, defensive cover, the ability of second attack, defense ability and the stability of tactics under rivalry. Based on the results of Asian basketball winning factors, the paper finally analyzes the failure causes for Chinese male basketball team, and gives some useful suggestions.