调整退休年龄对医保基金的影响预测

摘要

The paper predicted the age structure of the insured from 2013 to 2038 in Shanghai based on SongJian′s model of population development. We proposed to adjust the retire age to 63 years old, and predicted its impact on the health insurance of Shanghai in the next 30 years.%　　文章基于宋健人口模型的优化，预测上海市2013-2028年参保人口的年龄结构，建议将退休年龄推迟到63岁。在此基础上，预测调整退休年龄对上海未来医保基金的影响。