首页> 中文期刊> 《中国科技论坛》 >区域市场整合下的中国经济增长模式:基于环境DEA方法的经验分析

区域市场整合下的中国经济增长模式:基于环境DEA方法的经验分析

         

摘要

本研究以环境全要素生产率对经济增长的贡献比作为经济增长模式度量指标,对1995—2012年中国经济增长模式的现状及变化特征进行了分析,并基于区域市场整合的视角检验了经济增长模式的影响因素.结论表明:1995—2012年经济增长中环境全要素生产率贡献比经历了"先上升,后下降"的过程,但要素投入、 生态环境破坏型粗放增长是经济增长的主旋律,东部、 中部及西部三大地区环境全要素生产率变动对经济增长贡献的趋势有所交叉与重叠,各地区之间的差距整体上呈现收敛态势;区域市场整合对经济增长模式转型升级产生显著正向影响,且与对外经济开放形成"替代效应",促进各地区经济增长模式趋于收敛.产业结构、 技术进步对经济增长模式转型升级起到正向影响,而资本强度、 能源强度则起到显著的负向影响,且经济增长模式转型升级具有一定的滞后效应.%Taking the contribution of environmental total factor productivity as the index of the economic growth pattern, and based on nonparameter DEA-Malmquist index methods, the paper investigated status quo and characteristics of the economic growth pattern of China from 1995 to 2012. At the same time, it examined the factors of economic growth pattern from the perspective of regional market integration. The results show that the contribution ratio of ETFP experiences a process of"first increasing and then decreasing", but e-conomic growth is closely along with factor inputs and ecological damage. The trend of contribution ratio of ETFP has cross and overlap in eastern, central and western China, and the overall trend of three regions converges. About the determinants of economic growth pat-terns, regional market integration and economic opening have significantly positive effects on the transformation and upgrading of eco-nomic growth pattern. And there is a substitution relationship between regional market integration and economic opening. Industrial struc-ture and technological progress has played a positive impact on economic growth pattern, while capital intensity and energy intensity play significant negative impact. And the transformation and upgrading of economic growth pattern has lag effect.

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