中国2030年不同地区二氧化硫排放量预测与对策研究

摘要

ln 2010 the emission amount of So2 in the area of east,middle,west and east-north in China are re-spectively 6. 697,5. 111,8. 175,1. 869 mil ion tons,the prediction emission amount of So2 in 2030 are respectively 5. 3576,4. 0888,6. 5400,1. 4952 mil ion tons,thus the proposed tar9eted policy su99estion are as fol ows:fasten the quick development of economy in the province of Hainan,Tibet,Qin9hai,Xinjian9 and Helon9jian9 etc. those have low economic amount and lar9e atmosphere environmental capacity;enhance the technical and clean pro-duction level of those enterprises,develop new and clean ener9y,adjust the industrial structure,reduce ener9y consumption and enhance ener9y use efficiencyin the area of east,middle,west of China with the lar9est unit land area emission of So2;reduce the quota of So2 in the area of east and middle,and 9ive those area more quota of So2 with the low economic amount and lar9e atmosphere environmental capacity to balance the econo-my development speed in the process of al ocatin9 atmosphere environmental capacity quota in China.%我国2010年东部、中部、西部和东北地区二氧化硫排放量分别为669.7、511.1、817.5、186.9万t，预测2030年这些地区二氧化硫排放量分别为535.76、408.88、654.00、149.52万t，并提出相关政策建议，包括：加速海南、西藏、青海、新疆和黑龙江省等经济较落后并有较大环境容量省份的经济发展；东部、中部、西部单位国土面积二氧化硫排放量最大，提高企业的技术水平和清洁生产水平，大力发展新能源和清洁能源。调整产业结构，降低能耗，提高能源利用效率；从总量控制指标出发，应尽量减少东部、中部二氧化硫总量控制指标，调剂到环境空气有较大的容量且经济较落后的省份，使全国各省的经济得到较均衡发展。