研究目的：研究农村土地承包权长期化背景下无地农民获得土地的途径，以分析农村社会中无地农民的生存及对现行土地政策的影响。研究方法：Logistic 回归分析。研究结果：农民获得土地途径有三种：土地调整、家庭继承、通过土地流转市场获得土地使用权。在落实了土地承包权长期化的村中，最后调地时间越远，无地农民数量越多，无地农民土地调整的意愿反而下降。无地农民在无地情况下的选择不是通过市场租入土地而是外出打工，家庭继承是其事实上获得土地的途径。研究结论：外出打工对土地的替代效应和家庭继承缓解了无地农民对土地的依赖程度，无地农民数量增加没有引起村组土地的重新调整，无地农民并不构成农村发展的不稳定因素。%The purpose of this paper is to discuss the way that how the land-lost famers obtain land in the context of long-term maintenance of rural land contractual right in order to analyze the living condition of land-lost farmers and the im-pact on current land policy. Research method is the Logistic regression analysis. The results of the paper show that there are three ways to get land for the land-lost farmers, i.e., land readjustment, land lease and inheritance. It further shows that the longer the time since the latest land readjustment the more land-lost farmers would emerge in the villages that the policy of long-term land contractual right have implemented. But the willingness of land readjustment of the land-lost farmers decline. The land-lost farmers would not lease land but go for off-farm jobs. Family inheritance is a common way of obtain new land. The paper concludes that the substitution effect of off-farm jobs and family inheritance release the dependence on land to farmers. The increase of land-lost farmers has not caused the demand for land readjustment. Cur-rently land-lost farmers are not instability factors for rural development.
展开▼
