大连港吞吐量与腹地经济发展关系研究

摘要

Dalian Port's hinterland is divided into three circle spatial regions by using the Circle Structure method. This paper quantitatively analyzes the relationship between economic indicators of these three circle regions and Dalian port throughput by using Huff Gravity Model. The results of analysis show that the economic indicators in these three circle regions had different effects on the throughput of Dalian port. Base on the competition between Yingkou Port and Dalian Port, this paper analyzes the reasons and concludes that regional cooperation would be a rational choice for the development of two ports in the future.%文章采用圈层结构法将大连港腹地划分为三个圈层范围,并通过构建哈夫引力模型分析各圈层经济指标与港口吞吐量之间的关系.结果表明:各圈层的经济指标对港口吞吐量的影响存在可量化的差异,从营口港对大连港吞吐量的实际影响出发,分析原因,并在两港腹地资源竞争分析基础上,提出区域化合作将是两港未来发展的理性选择.