深圳市总人口与医疗床位需求预测分析

摘要

In this paper, according to the 2012 shenzhen health and population and family planning commission health statistics yearbook, shenzhen population, medical beds and other data in 1979-2012 years shenzhen population development change rule and the changing situation of the development of medical and health facilities by using Matlab and SPSS software in the yearbook shenzhen population, medical data such as data analysis, grey model, linear fitting model and reasonably predict future shenzhen population and health data.%本文根据2012年深圳市卫生和人口计划生育委员会卫生统计年鉴中深圳市人口数、医疗床位数等数据，针对1979-2012年深圳市人口的发展规律及医疗卫生设施的变化情况，运用Matlab、SPSS等软件对年鉴中深圳市人口数、医疗床位数等数据进行处理分析，建立了灰色模型、线性拟合模型，合理地预测出未来十年深圳市人口数与医疗床位数需求。