河南省人口-经济空间分布不均衡性分析

摘要

Selecting the total population and GDP variable ,using the traditional and spatial statistical analysis method, analysed the overall and local imbalanced characteristics of population -economy distribution, and the glob-al and local spatial association mode of imbalanced characteristics in Henan from 1980 to 2010.The result shows that in the past 30 years the overall imbalance characteristics was in a medium level and was changing fluctuantly and slowly.The local imbalance characteristics was continuedly strengthend from 1980 to 1995 and changing fluctu-antly afterwards.The global spatial association mode was aggregation for the imbalanced characteristics and there was a trend that the degree of aggregation was increasing fluctuantly .In the local spatial association mode , the eco-nomic polarization gathering area and population polarization gathering area were continued to expand and gather in space,and the economic isolation area and population isolation area were scattered .%以河南省126个县域为研究对象，选取人口数量、GDP 总量等指标，采用传统统计分析和空间统计分析方法对1980，1985，1990，1995，2000，2005，2010年河南省人口-经济空间分布的整体不均衡性、局部不均衡性以及不均衡性的空间关联模式进行研究。30年来，河南省人口-经济分布的整体匹配程度处于中等水平，呈波动式缓慢变化；局部不均衡在1980-1995年持续加强，表现在人口-经济协调型县域数量持续减少而经济极化型、经济超前型、人口超前型、人口极化型县域数量持续增加；1995年之后呈波动式变化。人口-经济不均衡性的全局空间关联模式为聚集模式，且聚集程度呈波动式增强的趋势；经济极化聚集区和人口极化聚集区的范围不断扩大，在空间上不断聚集，经济极化聚集区位于豫北、豫中和豫西的交界处，且有向豫中、豫西方向扩展、迁移的趋势；人口极化聚集区主要位于豫东和豫南地区，有向北迁移的趋势。分散模式中的经济孤立区和人口孤立区呈零星分布。