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Entry into electoral races and the quality of representation.

机译:参加选举比赛和代表权。

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摘要

U.S. Congressmen are very likely to be reelected and survey evidence suggests that voters are satisfied with their representatives. On the other hand, a large political science literature interprets the high incumbent reelection rate as evidence of lacking entry by strong challengers, analyzing its sources, consequences, and potential cures. This paper analyzes the extent to which there is a pool of potential candidates voters prefer to actual candidates, and what policies are effective at encouraging entry by preferable candidates. I construct a novel dataset with detailed information on the political experiences and prominence of actual as well as potential candidates and use it to estimate an entry and voting model. My estimates show that there is a large pool of preferable potential candidates who stay out of electoral races. I simulate the effects of different policies that have been suggested in the literature to make elections more competitive. Introducing term limits, imposing campaign spending limits, and increasing the compensation of representatives substantially encourage the entry and election of preferable candidates. I demonstrate that the stronger a winning candidate is according to my estimates, the less extremely he votes in Congress, the more federal funds he attracts for his district, and the fewer bills he sponsors.
机译:美国国会议员很可能会再次当选,调查证据表明选民对他们的代表感到满意。另一方面,大量的政治科学文献将当前的高改任率解释为缺乏强有力的挑战者进入的证据,并分析了其来源,后果和可能的治疗方法。本文分析了选民比实际候选人更倾向于潜在候选人的范围,以及哪些政策可以有效地鼓励优先候选人进入。我构建了一个新颖的数据集,其中包含有关实际和潜在候选人的政治经验和地位的详细信息,并用它来估计参赛和投票模型。我的估计表明,有很多潜在的候选人不在竞选之列。我模拟了文献中提出的使选举更具竞争力的不同政策的效果。引入任期限制,施加竞选支出限制以及增加代表的薪酬,在很大程度上鼓励了更佳候选人的进入和选举。我证明,根据我的估计,获胜的候选人越强大,他在国会中的投票越少,他为所在地区吸引的联邦资金就越多,他所赞助的账单就越少。

著录项

  • 作者

    Tillmann, Philipp Manuel.;

  • 作者单位

    The University of Chicago.;

  • 授予单位 The University of Chicago.;
  • 学科 Economics History.;Political Science General.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2014
  • 页码 87 p.
  • 总页数 87
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 宗教;
  • 关键词

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