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Modeling, empirics and policy implications of firm heterogeneity in international trade.

机译:企业异质性在国际贸易中的模型,经验和政策含义。

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摘要

Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models are essential computational tools for trade policy analysis. While traditional CGE models based on the Armington assumption of national product differentiation have been successfully applied to various policy scenarios, they also have significant limitations in explaining the firm-level information prevalent in the recent international trade literature. The pioneering work of Melitz (2003) has provided a firm heterogeneity theory that can help address the shortcomings of Armington-based CGE models by introducing additional productivity mechanisms and extensive margin effects. Incorporation of firm heterogeneity in mainstream CGE models offers great potential to improve computational policy analysis. Even though there have been some efforts to incorporate firm heterogeneity into CGE modeling, a readily accessible Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) implementation is currently not available. This dissertation addresses this gap by a combination of theory, calibration, estimation and simulation to develop and implement a firm heterogeneity module executed within the GTAP environment.;Chapter 2 presents the newly developed firm heterogeneity module with a stylized tariff removal scenario and compares the model predictions with those of monopolistic competition and perfect competition frameworks previously established in the standard GTAP model. Chapter 3 proposes a theoretically-consistent way to parameterize the firm heterogeneity module with a focus on the elasticity of substitution across varieties. Results show that the elasticity values that are consistent with the firm heterogeneity theory are considerably lower than Armington elasticities used in the standard GTAP model. Finally, Chapter 4 applies this newly developed module and parameterization to policy analysis in order to investigate the implications of reducing non-tariff measures associated with the beef hormone ban imposed by the European Union on imports from the United States based on the negotiations taking place for the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) Agreement. The firm heterogeneity module predictions of welfare changes in the United States are distinctly different from those predicted by the standard GTAP model. This is explained by the endogenous productivity and variety effects implied by the firm heterogeneity theory. Results also suggest that the choice of policy instrument is an important factor in determining which one of these effects dominates in the final welfare outcome. This dissertation introduces the first implementation of firm heterogeneity into the standard GTAP model which I hope will serve as a powerful tool for policy analysis with improved abilities in tracing out the productivity changes and entry/exit of firms following trade liberalization episodes.
机译:可计算的一般均衡(CGE)模型是进行贸易政策分析的基本计算工具。虽然基于阿明顿国民产品差异假设的传统CGE模型已成功应用于各种政策方案,但它们在解释最近的国际贸易文献中普遍存在的公司级信息方面也具有重大局限性。 Melitz(2003)的开创性工作提供了牢固的异质性理论,可以通过引入其他生产率机制和广泛的边际效应来帮助解决基于Armington的CGE模型的缺点。将企业异质性纳入主流CGE模型提供了巨大的潜力,可以改善计算策略分析。尽管已经做出了一些努力将公司的异质性纳入CGE建模中,但是目前尚无法获得易于访问的全球贸易分析项目(GTAP)实施方案。本文通过理论,标定,估计和仿真的结合来解决这一差距,以开发和实施在GTAP环境中执行的公司异质性模块。第二章介绍了新开发的公司异质性模块,具有程式化的关税去除方案,并对模型进行了比较。与标准GTAP模型中先前建立的垄断竞争和完善竞争框架相关的预测。第三章提出了一种理论上一致的方法来参数化企业异质性模块,重点是品种间替代的弹性。结果表明,与公司异质性理论一致的弹性值大大低于标准GTAP模型中使用的Armington弹性。最后,第4章将这一新开发的模块和参数化应用于政策分析,以调查基于欧盟针对美国的进口进行的谈判而减少与欧盟禁止牛肉激素相关的非关税措施的影响。跨大西洋贸易和投资伙伴关系(TTIP)协议。美国福利变化的公司异质性模块预测与标准GTAP模型所预测的明显不同。企业异质性理论所隐含的内生生产力和多样性效应可以解释这一点。结果还表明,政策工具的选择是确定这些影响中的哪一个在最终福利结果中占主导地位的重要因素。本文将企业异质性的第一个实现引入标准的GTAP模型中,我希望它将成为进行政策分析的有力工具,并具有提高的能力来追踪贸易自由化之后企业的生产率变化和进入/退出。

著录项

  • 作者

    Akgul, Zeynep.;

  • 作者单位

    Purdue University.;

  • 授予单位 Purdue University.;
  • 学科 Agricultural economics.;Economics.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2015
  • 页码 172 p.
  • 总页数 172
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:52:58

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