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A compelling case for deterrence: Deterrence theory and nuclear proliferation.

机译:一个令人信服的威慑案例:威慑理论和核扩散。

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摘要

This thesis challenges the perception of deterrence theory as a Cold War relic. To determine its current relevance, deterrence theory and its effectiveness at reducing nuclear proliferation among rogue states is examined. Deterrence theory suggests that as long as four necessary preconditions are met, communication, commitment, capability and resolve, deterrence will succeed. However, if one of those conditions is absent deterrence will fail. The accuracy of that theory will be tested by examining the cases of North Korea, Iran and Libya. By examining which conditions are or are not present in each of the given cases and exchanges the validity of the theory can be determined. Ultimately, it is concluded that when the four conditions are all present, deterrence is effective, however when any one condition is absent, deterrence fails. As a result, deterrence theory is found to be valid and relevant and should be considered in future non-proliferation strategies.
机译:本论文挑战了威慑理论作为冷战遗物的观念。为了确定其当前的相关性,研究了威慑理论及其在减少流氓国家之间核扩散方面的有效性。威慑理论认为,只要满足四个必要的前提条件,即沟通,承诺,能力和决心,威慑就会成功。但是,如果没有这些条件之一,威慑将失败。该理论的准确性将通过研究朝鲜,伊朗和利比亚的案件进行检验。通过检查每种给定情况下存在或不存在哪些条件并进行交换,可以确定该理论的有效性。最终得出的结论是,当所有四个条件都存在时,威慑是有效的,但是当不存在任何一种条件时,威慑就失败了。结果,威慑理论被认为是有效和相关的,应在今后的不扩散战略中加以考虑。

著录项

  • 作者

    Brisbin, Geoffrey D. W.;

  • 作者单位

    Dalhousie University (Canada).;

  • 授予单位 Dalhousie University (Canada).;
  • 学科 Political Science International Relations.
  • 学位 M.A.
  • 年度 2009
  • 页码 108 p.
  • 总页数 108
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 非洲史;
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:37:58

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