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RELIABILITY ANALYSIS FOR NONREPAIRABLE SYSTEMS SUBJECT TO DORMANCY (WARRANTY, WEIBULL, COVARIATES).

机译:不可修复的系统在可靠性方面的可靠性分析(保修,威布尔,变种)。

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摘要

Dormancy is a factor impacting the reliability of military systems, private aircraft, emergency, and seasonal equipment. This research investigated reliability analysis and modeling for nonrepairable systems designed for a life cycle of two consecutive phases, dormancy and active use.;Extensive quantitative studies were performed on a warranty data set for air-conditioning compressors. The compressors were installed early in the model year, and experienced a dormant period prior to seasonal active use. Analyses included nonparametric estimation of life distributions by life-table and product-limit methods. Estimates of the Weibull parameters and covariate regression coefficients were determined by the method of maximum likelihood, using a Newton Raphson algorithm.;These studies affirmed the relevance of dormant reliability, Weibull and proportional hazards concepts. The research demonstrated that the reliability models are applicable to field warranty analysis on actual commercial equipment.;Parametric studies and sensitivity analyses were performed on the models, using parameter estimates for space-based systems, air-conditioning compressors and accelerated testing models. A computer program was developed for use on a microcomputer as an analytical tool. This software is potentially useful by practitioners for reliability predictions and design trade-off studies.;Point-estimate reliability models were developed for multiple-phase life cycles, based on the Weibull life distribution. Proportional hazards were employed to formulate models relating the Weibull characteristic life, or scale parameter to explanatory covariates. This approach facilitated the use of heterogeneous field failure data to estimate the model parameters. It also led to models for accelerated dormant aging (preconditioning) and life testing.;The modeling and analytical concepts resulting from this research were integrated with military standards for prediction and testing, and with existing practices of reliability and design engineers.
机译:休眠是影响军事系统,私人飞机,紧急情况和季节性设备可靠性的一个因素。这项研究调查了针对不可修复系统的可靠性分析和建模,该系统设计用于两个连续阶段(休眠和主动使用)的生命周期。;对空调压缩机的保修数据集进行了广泛的定量研究。压缩机是在模型年初期安装的,并且在季节性活动使用之前经历了休眠期。分析包括通过寿命表和乘积极限法对寿命分布进行非参数估计。使用牛顿拉夫森算法,通过最大似然法确定Weibull参数和协变量回归系数的估计。这些研究证实了休眠可靠性,Weibull和比例风险概念的相关性。研究表明,该可靠性模型适用于实际商用设备的现场保修分析。通过对天基系统,空调压缩机和加速测试模型的参数估计,对模型进行了参数研究和灵敏度分析。开发了一种计算机程序,可在微型计算机上用作分析工具。该软件对于从业人员进行可靠性预测和设计折衷研究可能很有用。;基于威布尔寿命分布,针对多相寿命周期开发了点估计可靠性模型。使用比例风险来建立与Weibull特征寿命或比例参数相关的模型以说明协变量。这种方法有助于使用异构现场故障数据来估计模型参数。它还产生了用于加速休眠老化(预处理)和寿命测试的模型。该研究产生的建模和分析概念与用于预测和测试的军事标准以及可靠性和设计工程师的现有实践相集成。

著录项

  • 作者

    LANDERS, THOMAS LEE.;

  • 作者单位

    Texas Tech University.;

  • 授予单位 Texas Tech University.;
  • 学科 Engineering Industrial.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1985
  • 页码 236 p.
  • 总页数 236
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:51:06

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