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The application of statistical mechanics on the study of glassy behaviors in transportation networks and dynamics in models of financial markets .

机译:统计力学在交通网络玻璃化行为和金融市场模型动力学研究中的应用。

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摘要

In this thesis, we study two interdisciplinary problems in the framework of statistical physics, which show the broad applicability of physics on problems with various origins.;The first problem corresponds to an optimization problem in allocating resources on random regular networks. Frustrations arise from competition for resources. When the initial resources are uniform, different regimes with discrete fractions of satisfied nodes are observed, resembling the Devil's staircase. We apply the spin glass theory in analyses and demonstrate how functional recursions are converted to simple recursions of probabilities. Equilibrium properties such as the average energy and the fraction of free nodes are derived. When the initial resources are bimodally distributed, increases in the fraction of rich nodes induce a glassy transition, entering a glassy phase described by the existence of multiple metastable states, in which we employ the replica symmetry breaking ansatz for analysis.;The second problem corresponds to the study of multi-agent systems modeling financial markets. Agents in the system trade among themselves, and self-organize to produce macroscopic trading behaviors resembling the real financial markets. These behaviors include the arbitraging activities, the setting up and the following of price trends. A phase diagram of these behaviors is obtained, as a function of the sensitivity of price and the market impact factor. We finally test the applicability of the models with real financial data including the Hang Seng Index, the Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. A substantial fraction of agents gains faster than the inflation rate of the indices, suggesting the possibility of using multi-agent systems as a tool for real trading.
机译:本文在统计物理学的框架内研究了两个交叉学科的问题,显示了物理学在各种起源问题上的广泛适用性。第一个问题对应于在随机规则网络上分配资源的优化问题。挫败源于对资源的竞争。当初始资源是统一的时,会观察到具有离散部分的满意节点的不同状态,类似于魔鬼的阶梯。我们在分析中应用了自旋玻璃理论,并演示了如何将函数递归转换为概率的简单递归。得出平衡特性,例如平均能量和自由节点的分数。当初始资源是双峰分布时,丰富节点的分数增加会引起玻璃化转变,进入玻璃态,该状态由多个亚稳态的存在描述,其中我们采用复制对称性破坏ansatz进行分析。研究建模金融市场的多主体系统。系统中的主体之间进行交易,并自我组织以产生类似于真实金融市场的宏观交易行为。这些行为包括套利活动,价格趋势的建立和跟踪。根据价格的敏感性和市场影响因素,获得了这些行为的阶段图。最后,我们用包括恒生指数,纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数在内的实际财务数据测试了模型的适用性。很大一部分代理商的收益要快于指数的通胀率,这表明有可能使用多代理商系统作为真实交易的工具。

著录项

  • 作者

    Yeung, Chi Ho.;

  • 作者单位

    Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Hong Kong).;

  • 授予单位 Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Hong Kong).;
  • 学科 Statistics.;Physics Theory.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2009
  • 页码 153 p.
  • 总页数 153
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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