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Outward-looking policies and industrialization in Thailand (1970-1989).

机译:泰国的前瞻性政策和工业化(1970-1989年)。

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摘要

In recent years, the outward-looking paradigm has been endorsed as a fundamental concept for economic development, replacing the preceding import substitution model. This is a study of how Thailand's outward-looking policies successfully transformed the economy from stagnation during the early 1980s to a boom economy before the end of the decade.;The export-oriented industrialization (EOI) policies, comprising import tariff reduction, export investment promotion and exchange rate devaluation, were among the most influential factors in this transformation. Under the EOI policies, the industrial sector continued to be the engine of growth. However, the share of the export industries became as large as the share of the formerly predominant import-substitution industries. Export demand expansion, especially of labor-intensive manufactured goods, became the major source of economic growth. The increase in job opportunities in the industrial sector absorbed more and more of the agricultural sector's surplus labor, and this created a positive 'resources reallocation benefit' in addition to the already high rate of industrial growth.;Although increases in the world export demand conceivably opened up possibilities for Thai export expansion, it is estimated that about 60 percent of the total export expansion was attributed by the internal policy changes. Among the EOI policies, exchange rate management played a crucial role in boosting the 'price competitiveness' of Thai exports vis-a-vis other exporting countries. It helped to increase the share of Thai manufactured exports in the world market during 1985-88 by 35 percent. Moreover, under the managing float exchange rate regime, the export price was more stable than when it was under the fixed-to-;Although the outward-looking policies may not be a general strategy that can be applied to all LDCs, the experience of Thailand seems to suggest that a step towards 'less protectionism' may be the right direction for achieving economic progress.
机译:近年来,外表范式已被认可为经济发展的基本概念,取代了之前的进口替代模型。这项研究旨在研究泰国的前瞻性政策如何成功地将经济从1980年代初的停滞转变为十年后的繁荣经济。出口导向的工业化(EOI)政策,包括降低进口关税,出口投资促进和汇率贬值是这一转变中最有影响力的因素。根据EOI政策,工业部门继续成为增长的引擎。但是,出口行业的份额与以前占主导地位的进口替代行业的份额一样大。出口需求的扩大,特别是劳动密集型制成品的出口需求的扩大,成为经济增长的主要来源。工业部门工作机会的增加吸收了越来越多农业部门的剩余劳动力,除了已经很高的工业增长率之外,这还产生了积极的“资源再分配利益”。尽管可以想象世界出口需求的增加开拓了泰国出口扩张的可能性,据估计,总出口扩张的约60%是由于内部政策的变化。在意向书(EOI)政策中,汇率管理在增强泰国出口相对于其他出口国的“价格竞争力”方面发挥了关键作用。在1985-88年间,它帮助将泰国制成品出口在世界市场上的份额提高了35%。此外,在有管理的浮动汇率制度下,出口价格比固定汇率下的出口价格更稳定;尽管前瞻性政策可能不是适用于所有最不发达国家的一般策略,泰国似乎暗示朝“减少保护主义”迈进可能是实现经济进步的正确方向。

著录项

  • 作者

    Sangsubhan, Kanit.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Toronto (Canada).;

  • 授予单位 University of Toronto (Canada).;
  • 学科 Economics General.;Political Science International Law and Relations.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1992
  • 页码 209 p.
  • 总页数 209
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 经济学;国际法;
  • 关键词

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