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Foreign exchange spreads: Theory and econometric estimation.

机译:外汇点差:理论和经济计量估计。

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摘要

The purpose of this dissertation is to study an important component of transaction costs, bid-ask spreads. It consists of three essays.; In the first essay, a microstructure model of a foreign currency dealer's spread decision is developed. The dealer maximizes expected utility of wealth in a two-period model and, at the end of the trading period, is assumed to exit the market without any liquidation costs. It is shown that the optimal spread is a function of the dealer's risk aversion parameters, price and volume volatility, the current value of the currency traded, domestic and foreign interest rates, and the opportunity costs of committing funds to currency trading.; The comparative statics of the spread estimator are analyzed. In equilibrium, the percentage spread varies positively with price risk, the foreign interest rate, and the amount and rate of the line of credit, but varies negatively with the domestic interest rate and the expected currency price level. Moreover, the model allows a richer set of interaction among other variables. For instance, it allows for spreads to increase or decrease as trading volume and volume volatility increase. Nevertheless, as uncertainty is resolved, via the shrinking of the trading period, it is shown that increases in trading volume are associated with lower spreads.; The second essay empirically examines the hypotheses derived in the first essay using the exchange rate of U.S. Dollar for six foreign currencies in both the spot and forward markets. The methodology we use to proxy price risk also allows us to investigate the currency return and volatility patterns. Although there is a day-of-the-week return pattern in the currency markets, we find that this pattern is sensitive to the currency, sample period, and model chosen. Also, currency volatility is more predictable than currency return.; The analysis shows that transaction costs in foreign exchange markets vary over time and currencies and that dealers usually charge higher spreads on forward contracts than on spot contracts. The empirical results provide satisfactory support for our model. The evidence indicates that increases in exchange rate volatility cause the spread to widen. Most of the data series have the expected sign between the spread and the domestic and foreign interest rates. Our results also document that on Friday the spread is significantly higher than the average spread on other weekdays. However, only the British Pound has the expected negative relationship between the percentage spreads and the expected price level.; In the third essay we improve Roll's (1984) and Stoll's (1989) serial covariance spread estimators by taking into account not only the magnitude of the price reversal but also a two-period serial correlation of transaction types. The existing spread models are unified under our new model and the three cost components of spread--order processing, adverse information, and inventory holding costs--are considered. We also propose a methodology to calculate the input parameters.
机译:本文的目的是研究交易成本的重要组成部分,买卖差价。它包括三篇论文。在第一篇文章中,建立了外币交易商的价差决策的微观结构模型。交易者在两个周期的模型中最大化了预期的财富效用,并且在交易期结束时,假定交易者无需支付任何清算费用即可退出市场。结果表明,最佳点差是交易商的风险规避参数,价格和交易量的波动性,所交易货币的现值,国内外利率以及将资金投入货币交易的机会成本的函数。分析了扩展估计量的比较静态。在均衡状态下,利差百分比随价格风险,外国利率以及信贷额度和利率而变化,而随本国利率和预期货币价格水平变化而变化。而且,该模型允许其他变量之间进行更丰富的交互。例如,它允许点差随着交易量和交易量波动性的增加而增加或减少。然而,随着不确定性的解决,通过交易周期的缩小,表明交易量的增加与点差的降低有关。第二篇论文使用现货市场和远期市场中六种外币的美元汇率从经验上检验了第一篇论文中得出的假设。我们用来评估价格风险的方法还使我们能够研究货币收益率和波动率模式。尽管货币市场中存在每周的收益率模式,但我们发现该模式对货币,样本时间和所选模型敏感。而且,货币波动性比货币收益率更可预测。分析表明,外汇市场上的交易成本随时间和货币的不同而变化,并且交易商通常收取远期合约的点差高于现货合约的点差。实证结果为我们的模型提供了令人满意的支持。有证据表明,汇率波动的增加导致价差扩大。大多数数据系列在价差与国内外利率之间都具有预期的迹象。我们的结果还表明,周五的价差大大高于其他工作日的平均价差。但是,只有英镑具有价差百分比和预期价格水平之间的预期负关系。在第三篇文章中,我们不仅考虑了价格反转的幅度,而且还考虑了交易类型的两周期序列相关性,从而改进了Roll(1984)和Stoll(1989)的序列协方差价差估计量。现有的价差模型在我们的新模型下被统一,并考虑了价差的三个成本组成部分:订单处理,不利信息和库存持有成本。我们还提出了一种计算输入参数的方法。

著录项

  • 作者

    Chen, Dar-Hsin.;

  • 作者单位

    The University of Mississippi.;

  • 授予单位 The University of Mississippi.;
  • 学科 Economics Finance.; Economics Theory.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1998
  • 页码 170 p.
  • 总页数 170
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 财政、金融;经济学;
  • 关键词

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