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The fiscal constitution of a developing country: The case of Thailand.

机译:发展中国家的财政宪法:以泰国为例。

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摘要

This dissertation examines evidence from developing nations in Asia and the Pacific (with special emphasis on Thailand) in order to arrive at an understanding of the relationship between certain qualities of a budget process and fiscal discipline. The qualities of the budget process under examination are centralization rigidity, and transparency (CRT). The investigation tests whether these qualities effectively promote fiscal discipline by reducing fiscal inefficiencies such as fiscal illusion and deficit bias. Individual analyses of time-series and cross-country data take into consideration various indicators of fiscal discipline, such as overall budget surplus, primary surplus, gross public debt, percentage increase in gross debt, and net government borrowing.The cross-country analysis examines data obtained from the following eleven developing Asian countries: Bangladesh, India, Indonesia, the Republic of Korea, Malaysia, Nepal, Pakistan, the Philippines, Singapore, Sri Lanka, and Thailand. The results of this analysis indicate that CRT qualities have a positive and statistically significant correlation with fiscal discipline.Time-series data from Thailand ranging from 1960 to 1994 reveal that centralization alone (through the political strength of the executive) is more robustly correlated with fiscal discipline than the combination of CRT qualities. This implies that centralization (in terms of political strength) has a strong influence on fiscal discipline in Thailand.In addition to the aforementioned evidence from the real world, this dissertation presents conclusions derived from a series of laboratory experiments. These experiments investigated the decision-making processes of individual appropriators who used a voting mechanism to produce a two-dimensional budget. In this perfectly decentralized environment, individuals' concerns about the common-pool-resource problem (reflected by non-circular indifference curves around an ideal point) did not result in a smaller-sized budget under either a top-down or bottom-up voting mechanism.
机译:本文研究了来自亚洲及太平洋发展中国家(特别是泰国)的证据,以便对预算程序的某些质量与财政纪律之间的关系有所了解。审查中的预算流程的质量是集中化的刚性和透明度(CRT)。该调查通过降低财政效率低下(例如财政幻想和赤字偏差)来测试这些素质是否有效地促进了财政纪律。对时间序列和跨国数据的单独分析考虑了各种财政纪律指标,例如总体预算盈余,基本盈余,公共债务总额,债务总额增加百分比和政府净借款。数据来自以下11个亚洲发展中国家:孟加拉国,印度,印度尼西亚,大韩民国,马来西亚,尼泊尔,巴基斯坦,菲律宾,新加坡,斯里兰卡和泰国。分析的结果表明,CRT的质量与财政纪律具有正相关和统计上的显着相关性.1960年至1994年泰国的时间序列数据显示,仅中央集权(通过行政人员的政治力量)与财政之间的联系更加牢固纪律比CRT品质要好。这暗示着中央集权(就政治实力而言)对泰国的财政纪律有很强的影响。除了上述来自现实世界的证据外,本文还提出了一系列实验室实验得出的结论。这些实验调查了使用投票机制产生二维预算的单个拨款者的决策过程。在这种完全分散的环境中,个人对公共游泳池资源问题的担忧(反映在理想点附近的非圆形无差异曲线上)并未导致自上而下或自下而上的投票产生较小的预算机制。

著录项

  • 作者

    Lao-Araya, Kanokpan.;

  • 作者单位

    Indiana University.;

  • 授予单位 Indiana University.;
  • 学科 Economics Finance.Political Science Public Administration.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1998
  • 页码 205 p.
  • 总页数 205
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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