首页> 外文学位 >Essays on financial intermediaries, business cycles and macroprudential policies.
【24h】

Essays on financial intermediaries, business cycles and macroprudential policies.

机译:有关金融中介机构,商业周期和宏观审慎政策的论文。

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例

摘要

This study conducts a quantitative analysis of the role of financial shocks and credit frictions affecting the banking sector in driving business cycles as well as the role of reserve requirements as a macroprudential policy tool. In the first chapter, I first empirically document three stylized business cycle facts of aggregate financial variables in the U.S. commercial banking sector for the period 1987--2010: (i) Bank credit, deposits and loan spread are less volatile than output, while net worth and leverage ratio are more volatile, (ii) bank credit and net worth are procyclical, while deposits, leverage ratio and loan spread are countercyclical, and (iii) financial variables lead the output fluctuations by one to three quarters. I then present an equilibrium business cycle model with a financial sector, featuring a moral hazard problem between banks and its depositors, which leads to endogenous capital constraints for banks in obtaining funds from households. Credit frictions in banking sector are modeled as in Gertler and Karadi (2011). The model incorporates empirically-disciplined shocks to bank net worth (i.e. "financial shocks") that alter the ability of banks to borrow and to extend credit to non-financial businesses. The model is calibrated to U.S. data from 1987 to 2010. I show that the benchmark model driven by both standard productivity and financial shocks is able to deliver most of the stylized facts about real and financial variables simultaneously. Financial shocks and credit frictions in banking sector are important not only for explaining the dynamics of aggregate financial variables but also for the dynamics of standard macroeconomic variables. Financial shocks play a major role in driving real fluctuations due to their strong impact on the tightness of bank capital constraint and credit spread, which eventually affect the saving-investment nexus of the economy. Finally, the tightness of bank capital constraint given by the Lagrange multiplier in the theoretical model (which determines the banks' ability to extend credit to non-financial firms) tracks the index of tightening credit standards (which shows the adverse changes in banks' lending) constructed by the Federal Reserve Board quite well.;The second chapter (coauthored with Enes Sunel and Temel Taskin) undertakes a quantitative investigation of the role of reserve requirements as a credit policy tool. We build a monetary DSGE model with a banking sector in which (i) an agency problem between households and banks leads to endogenous capital constraints for banks in obtaining funds from households, (ii) banks are subject to time-varying reserve requirements that countercyclically respond to expected credit growth, (iii) households face cash-in-advance constraints, requiring them to hold real balances, and (iv) standard productivity and money growth shocks are two sources of aggregate uncertainty. We calibrate the model to the Turkish economy which is representative of using reserve requirements as a macroprudential policy tool recently. We also consider the impact of financial shocks that affect the net worth of financial intermediaries. We find that (i) the time-varying required reserve ratio rule mitigates the negative effects of the financial accelerator mechanism triggered by adverse macroeconomic and financial shocks, (ii) in response to TFP and money growth shocks, countercyclical reserves policy reduces the volatilities of key real macroeconomic and financial variables compared to fixed reserves policy over the business cycle, and (iii) an operational time-varying reserve requirement policy is welfare superior to a fixed reserve requirement policy. The credit policy is most effective when the economy is hit by a financial shock. Time-varying required reserves policy reduces the intertemporal distortions created by the credit spreads at expense of generating higher inflation volatility, indicating an interesting trade-off between price stability and financial stability.
机译:这项研究对影响银行业的金融冲击和信贷摩擦在推动商业周期中的作用以及准备金要求作为宏观审慎政策工具的作用进行了定量分析。在第一章中,我首先以经验形式记录了1987--2010年期间美国商业银行部门总金融变量的三个程式化商业周期事实:(i)银行信贷,存款和贷款利差的波动性小于产出,而净值资产价值和杠杆比率的波动性更大;(ii)银行信贷和净资产是周期性的,而存款,杠杆比率和贷款利差是反周期的;(iii)金融变量导致产出波动达四分之三。然后,我提出了一个金融部门的均衡商业周期模型,其特征是银行及其存款人之间存在道德风险问题,这导致了银行从家庭获得资金时的内生资本约束。银行业的信贷摩擦是根据Gertler和Karadi(2011)建模的。该模型结合了按经验划分的对银行净值的冲击(即“金融冲击”),这些冲击改变了银行借贷能力以及将信贷扩展到非金融业务的能力。该模型已根据1987年至2010年的美国数据进行了校准。我证明,由标准生产率和金融冲击共同驱动的基准模型能够同时传递有关实际变量和金融变量的大多数典型事实。银行业的金融冲击和信贷摩擦不仅对于解释总体金融变量的动态而且对于标准宏观经济变量的动态都很重要。由于金融冲击对银行资本紧缩和信贷利差的强烈影响,因此在推动实际波动中起着重要作用,最终影响了经济的储蓄投资关系。最后,理论模型中的拉格朗日乘数给出的银行资本约束的紧度(确定银行向非金融公司提供信贷的能力)追踪紧缩信贷标准的指数(这表明银行贷款的不利变化) );由第二部分(与Enes Sunel和Temel Taskin合着)对储备金要求作为信贷政策工具的作用进行了定量研究。我们用银行部门建立了货币DSGE模型,其中(i)家庭与银行之间的代理问题导致银行从家庭获得资金时出现内生的资本约束,(ii)银行受到时变准备金要求的影响,这些要求会反周期地做出响应对于预期的信贷增长,(iii)家庭面临现金进账限制,要求他们保持实际余额,并且(iv)标准生产率和货币增长冲击是总不确定性的两个来源。我们针对土耳其经济对模型进行了校准,该模型最近代表了将储备金要求用作宏观审慎政策工具。我们还将考虑影响金融中介机构净资产的金融冲击的影响。我们发现(i)时变要求准备金比率规则减轻了不利的宏观经济和金融冲击引发的金融加速器机制的负面影响;(ii)为应对TFP和货币增长冲击,反周期准备金政策降低了金融工具的波动性。与整个业务周期中的定期准备金政策相比,关键的实际宏观经济和金融变量;以及(iii)随时间变化的业务准备金要求政策的福利要优于固定准备金政策。当经济受到金融冲击的打击时,信贷政策最为有效。时变要求的准备金政策减少了信用利差造成的跨期扭曲,但代价是产生了更高的通胀波动性,这表明在价格稳定性和金融稳定性之间进行了有趣的权衡。

著录项

  • 作者

    Mimir, Yasin.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Maryland, College Park.;

  • 授予单位 University of Maryland, College Park.;
  • 学科 Economics General.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2012
  • 页码 179 p.
  • 总页数 179
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号