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Essays on macro factors and asset pricing: Theory and evaluation.

机译:关于宏观因素和资产定价的论文:理论与评估。

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摘要

My essays deal with macro factors and the cross sectional asset prices. It consists of 4 essays.; My first essay consider asset pricing in a monetary economy where liquid assets are held to lower transaction costs. The ensuing model extends the CAPM and the Consumption CAPM by deriving real money growth as an additional factor determining returns and they compare favorably to other theoretical asset pricing models. The paper further introduces a technique that facilitates derivation of dynamic asset pricing results in discrete time by generalizing Stein's Lemma to multivariate cases.; My second essay considers asset pricing from the production side. Relying on a general version of the traditional Real Business Cycle macro model we find that the variables determining the mean returns of all financial assets are the productivity shock as the sole factor together with the capital stock and productivity level as conditioning variables. The model explains the size premium from differences in the unconditional sensitivity to productivity shocks and explains the value premium from differences in the conditional sensitivity to productivity shocks.; In my third essay we develop a measure previously considered by Kandel and Stambaugh (1995) to evaluate linear asset pricing models. The "KS-ratio" criterion rates a model's usefulness based on the mean portfolio return, for any given variance choice, obtained by a mean-variance decision maker using the model for optimal portfolio decisions. The KS-ratio together with the HJ-distance and several ad hoc evaluation criteria are applied to nine prominent asset pricing models. We find that it is necessary to correct for the number of factors and that this correction makes a substantial difference for model rankings.; Cooper, Gutierrez and Hameed (2004) find that momentum profits derive from the "up" market; they claim that this is due to investor overconfidence. My fourth essay examines their proposition in an international context and finds qualified support: momentum profits exist only in the up market but this holds for only two of three market state classifications based on past returns. A further test using lagged world industrial production growth to classify market states largely supports the proposition.
机译:我的文章涉及宏观因素和横截面资产价格。它包含4篇论文。我的第一篇文章考虑了在货币经济中的资产定价,在货币经济中持有流动资产以降低交易成本。随后的模型通过将实际货币增长作为确定回报的附加因素来扩展了CAPM和消费CAPM,它们与其他理论资产定价模型相比具有优势。本文还介绍了一种技术,该技术通过将Stein's Lemma推广到多变量案例来促进离散时间内动态资产定价结果的推导。我的第二篇文章从生产方面考虑资产定价。依靠传统“实际商业周期”宏观模型的一般版本,我们发现确定所有金融资产的平均收益的变量是生产力冲击作为唯一因素,而资本存量和生产率水平则是条件变量。该模型解释了由于无条件对生产率冲击的敏感性差异而产生的规模溢价,并解释了因对生产率冲击的条件敏感性差异而引起的价值溢价。在我的第三篇文章中,我们开发了一种先前由Kandel和Stambaugh(1995)考虑的方法,用于评估线性资产定价模型。对于任何给定的方差选择,“ KS比率”标准基于均值方差决策者使用该模型进行最优投资组合决策而获得的均值投资组合收益,对模型的有效性进行评分。 KS比率与HJ距离以及一些临时评估标准一起应用于九种突出的资产定价模型。我们发现有必要对因子的数量进行校正,并且这种校正对模型排名产生重大影响。 Cooper,Gutierrez和Hameed(2004)发现动量利润来自“上升”市场。他们声称这是由于投资者的过度自信。我的第四篇文章在国际背景下研究了它们的命题,并找到了有力的支持:动量利润仅存在于上升市场中,但这仅适用于基于过去收益的三个市场状态分类中的两个。使用滞后的世界工业生产增长对市场状态进行分类的进一步检验在很大程度上支持了这一主张。

著录项

  • 作者

    Huang, Dayong.;

  • 作者单位

    West Virginia University.;

  • 授予单位 West Virginia University.;
  • 学科 Economics Finance.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2005
  • 页码 171 p.
  • 总页数 171
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 财政、金融;
  • 关键词

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