IT行业对亚美尼亚经济增长的影响研究

摘要

本学位论文分析了信息技术(IT)行业对亚美尼亚经济的影响。研究的核心问题是找出影响经济增长的因素以及探讨IT行业的出口和国外直接投资(FDI)是否会经济增长。本文运用定性分析法分析了以色列和爱尔兰两个成功案例，然后探讨IT行业在亚美尼亚应用的可能性。由于IT是一个新兴产业，本文获取了2002-2016年较新的数据。回归模型中选取的变量有:劳动力、固定资本形成总额、人力资本、专利、IT行业的出口量和IT行业的国外直接投资。本文基于定性分析和实证分析的研究结果表明，IT行业出口以及劳动力和固定资本形成总额对经济增长具有显着影响，而IT行业的国外直接投资，人力资本和专利对经济的影响较小。

目录

声明

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

ABSTRACT

摘要

TABLE OF CONTENTS

LIST OF FIGURES

LIST OF TABLES

LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS

CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION

1．1 Background of the Study

1．2 Literature review

1．2．1 Economic Growth Theories and Models

1．2．2 The Influence of IT on the Economic Growth

1．3 Research Framework

1．4 Methodology of the Study

1．5 Contribution of the Study

1．6 Limitations of the study

CHAPTER TWO THEORETICAL ANALYSIS OF IT IMPACT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH

2．1 History and Development of Information Technology

2．2 IT industry classifications and sectors

2．3 Channels Of IT influence

2．3．1 Factors Influencing Economic Growth

2．3．2 The Influencing Mechanism of IT on the Economic Growth

CHAPTER THREE EMERGENCE AND DEVELOPMENT OF IT IN ARMENIA

3．1 The Economic Overview of Armenia

3．2 Structure of the Economy

3．2．1 Industry

3．2．2 Agriculture

3．2．3 Services Industry

3．3 Development of Information Technology in Armenia

CHAPTER FOUR SUCCESS OF IT INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT IN ISRAEL AND IRELAND：POSSIBLE APPLICATION IN ARMENIA

4．2 Success of Silicon Wadi，High-Tech and Innovations in Israel

4．3 Introduction to Ireland

4．4 Success of Information Technology industry in Ireland

4．5 Application of Israeli and Irish experience in Armenia

CHAPTER FIVE EMPIRICAL STUDY ON IT INDUSTRY CONTRIBUTION TO ARMENIA'S ECONOMIC GROWTH

5．1 Structure of the Empirical Study

5．2 Data，variables and collection methodology

5．3 Econometric Model

5．4 Analysis of the Data

5．4．1 Descriptive Statistics

5．4．2 Unit Root Test

5．4．3 Correlation Analysis

5．4．4 Ordinary Least Squares(OLS)

5．5 Outcome of the Analysis

CHAPTER SIX CONCLUDING REMARKS

6．1 Conclusion

6．2 Suggestion

BIBLIOGRAPHY

APPENDICIES