The Forecast Research of Commercial Aviation Passenger Transport Rate Based on Grey Markov Model

摘要

How to Research the Development of China Civil Aviation Passenger is the right marketing strategy to develop aviation premise and foundation. In this paper, from 2000 to 2008, a total of 9 years based on the national civil aviation passenger data, which predict national civil aviation passenger traffic that based on the gray prediction model and the Markov chain which has introduced. In the instance of Grey Markov model proved more accurate date than gray model prediction accuracy date, and the paper calculated the 2009-2013 civil aviation passenger traffic forecasts.