Multiple science data-oriented Technology Roadmapping method

摘要

Since its first engagement with industry decades ago, Technology Roadmapping (TRM) is taking a more and more important role for technical intelligence in current R&D planning and innovation tracking. Important topics for both science policy and engineering management researchers involves with the approaches that refer to the real-world problems, explore value-added information from the complex data sets, fuse the analytic results and expert knowledge effectively and reasonable, and demonstrate to the decision makers visually and understandable. Moreover, the growing variety of science data sources in the Big Data Age increases these challenges and opportunities. Addressing these concerns, this paper proposes a TRM composing method with a clustering-based topic identification model, a multiple science data sources integration model, and a semi-automated fuzzy set-based TRM composing model with expert aid. We focus on a case study on computer science related R&D. Empirical data from the United States National Science Foundation Award data (innovative research ideas and proposals) and Derwent Innovation Index data source (patents emphasizing technical products) provide vantage points at two stages of the R&D process. The understanding gained will assist in description of computer science macro-trends for R&D decision makers.