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Travel behavior changes: evidence from a longitudinal travel survey

机译:出行行为变化:来自纵向出行调查的证据

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摘要

Understanding changes in travel behavior and changes in the factors affecting travel behavior can provide useful input to policy definitions. It also has important implications for the design of decision support systems to support policy analysis. The premier source on behavioral changes and models for decision support systems is a panel survey - repeated observations of the same persons over time. In this paper the data from nine waves of the Puget Sound Transportation Panel (PSTP) are analyzed to study travel behavior change and the sources for this change. The frequency of trips and the proportion for each mode are studied using a series of Poisson regression models and linear regression models. These models include personal, household, temporal factors, and weather information. A complex pattern of relationships emerged from this analysis with some findings confirming past research while others showing inconsistent correlations in time.
机译:了解旅行行为的变化以及影响旅行行为的因素的变化可以为政策定义提供有用的输入。这对支持政策分析的决策支持系统的设计也具有重要意义。行为变化和决策支持系统模型的主要来源是面板调查-随时间推移对同一个人的重复观察。在本文中,对来自普吉特海湾运输小组(PSTP)的九次波浪的数据进行了分析,以研究旅行行为的变化以及这种变化的来源。使用一系列的Poisson回归模型和线性回归模型研究了出行的频率和每种模式的比例。这些模型包括个人,家庭,时间因素和天气信息。从这种分析中发现了复杂的关系模式,其中一些发现证实了过去的研究,而另一些则显示出时间上的不一致。

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