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Air Pollution and the Modification by Spatial Synoptic Classification on Mortality

机译:空气污染与空间概率分类对死亡率的修改

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Background Korean Peninsula has the distinct seasonal characteristics and the study on seasonality is relatively frequent compared to the relationship with synoptic classification (SSC). In the study, we aimed to investigate the modification effect between air pollution and SSC on mortality. Methods Daily death data were collected through the Korean Statistics between 2000 and 2014 in Seoul, Korea. We conducted the time-series study using Poisson generalized linear models with an allowance of over-dispersion with seven distinctive SSC (Dry moderate [DM], Dry polar [DP], Dry tropical [DT], Moist moderate [MM], Moist polar [MP], Moist tropical [MT], and Transition [T]) and investigated the modification effects between the SSC and PM10 adjusting for other meteorological conditions, and time trend. The estimated effects were expressed as percentage changes in the risk with 95% confidence interval (CI) per interquartile range(IQR) increase in PM10 for daily non-accidental, cardiovascular-, respiratory-related mortality associated with exposure to PM10 at lag 0-4 according to the type of SSC. Results Daily PM10 level was greater in days [DM] (mean, 61.0 u.g/m3) and [DT] (mean, 61.8 u.g/m3) and the overall risk of mortality increase were observed in non-accidental [1.11% (95% CI 0.50%, 1.73%)], and cardiovascular [1.87% (95% CI 0.68%, 3.08%)] for PM10 IQR increase. In addition, we observed the mortality risk modified by SSC and increased effect was observed in [DM], [DT], [MM], [MT], and [T] in non-accidental and cardiovascular-related mortality. In particular, we observed the increased risk in [MT] regardless cause of death with non-accidental [1.86% (95% CI 1.02%, 2.70%)], cardiovascular [2.01% (95% CI 0.37%, 3.67%)], and respiratory [3.78% (95% CI 0.89%, 6.76%)]. Discussion the application of SSC in the investigation of air pollution and short-term health effects assisted to understand the health risks in overall weather condition.
机译:背景技术与与概要分类(SSC)的关系相比,韩国半岛具有明显的季节性特征,并且对季节性的研究相对频繁。在研究中,我们旨在调查空气污染与SSC对死亡率的修改效应。方法通过韩国首尔2000年至2014年朝鲜统计数据收集日常死亡数据。我们使用泊松广告的线性模型进行了时间序列研究,含有过分分散的七种独特的SSC(干中等[DM],干偏光[DP],干热带[DT],湿润间[mm],润湿极性[MP],潮湿的热带[MT],以及转换[T])并研究了SSC和PM10之间的修饰效应,调整其他气象条件和时间趋势。估计的效果被表达为风险的百分比变化,每条置位范围95%置信区间(IQR)增加PM10的每日非意外,心血管 - ,呼吸相关死亡率,与PM10相关的呼吸相关的死亡率0- 4根据SSC的类型。结果每日PM10水平在数天[DM](平均值,61.0ug / m3)和[dt](平均值,61.8ug / m3),并且在非意外观察到死亡率增加的总体风险[1.11%(95%) CI 0.50%,1.73%)]和心血管[1.87%(95%CI 0.68%,3.08%)]对于PM10 IQR增加。此外,我们观察到在非意外和心血管相关死亡中,在[DM],[DT],[mm],[MT]和[T]中观察到SSC改性的死亡率风险,并且在非意外和心血管相关的死亡率中观察到增加的效果。特别是,我们观察到[MT]的风险增加,无论如何,无需非偶然死亡的原因[1.86%(95%CI 1.02%,2.70%)],心血管[2.01%(95%CI 0.37%,3.67%)]和呼吸[3.78%(95%CI 0.89%,6.76%)]。讨论SSC在空气污染调查中的应用辅助了解整体天气状况的健康风险。

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