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MODELING THE INCLUSION OF TRAPPED VICTIMS IN LOGISTICS PLANNING FOR EARTHQUAKE RESPONSE: A CASE STUDY IN THE CITY OF BOGOTA

机译:建模纳入地震响应后物流规划中的被困受害者的纳入杂志 - 以波哥大市为例

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Discrete Event Simulation (DES) has been commonly used in modeling the medical attention of injured people. In earthquakes, a portion of the injured victims are trapped and need to be rescued before receiving medical attention. Hence, the rate of rescue operations and the percentage of victims that are rescued have an impact on the logistics planning of medical attention. In this paper we attempt to improve an existing DES model for medical attention to earthquake victims by proposing an improved way of modeling the inter-arrival rate of trapped people. We compare our results with the DES model applied to an earthquake in the city of Bogota, Colombia and evaluate the difference of additional logistics requirements. The results show that when the percentage of dead people is below 80% there is a significant increase in the expected number of injured victims in the model, when the trapped people are properly included.
机译:离散事件模拟(DES)通常用于建模受伤人员的医疗。在地震中,受伤受害者的一部分被困,并且需要在接受医疗注意之前救出。因此,救援行动率和救助受害者的百分比对医疗注意力的物流规划产生了影响。在本文中,我们试图通过提出建模困难的人的到达次数的提高方式来改善对地震受害者的医疗注意力的现有模型。我们将结果与哥伦比亚,哥伦比亚城市的地震应用于地震,评价额外物流要求的差异。结果表明,当死亡人数低于80%的百分比时,该模型中受伤受害者数量的预期数量大幅增加,当被困人员被妥善包括。

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