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DEEP GAUSSIAN PROCESS METAMODELING OF SEQUENTIALLY SAMPLED NON-STATIONARY RESPONSE SURFACES

机译:依次采样的非平稳响应表面的深层高斯工艺元素

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Simulations are often used for the design of complex systems as they allow to explore the design space without the need to build several prototypes. Over the years, the simulation accuracy, as well as the associated computational cost has increased significantly, limiting the overall number of simulations during the design process. Therefore, metamodeling aims to approximate the simulation response with a cheap-to-evaluate mathematical approximation, learned from a limited set of simulator evaluations. Kernel-based methods using stationary kernels are nowadays wildly used. However, using stationary kernels for non-stationary responses can be inappropriate and result in poor models when combined with sequential design. We present the application of a novel kernel-based technique, known as Deep Gaussian Processes, which is better able to cope with these difficulties. We evaluate the method for non-stationary regression on a series of real-world problems, showing that it outperforms the standard Gaussian Processes with stationary kernels.
机译:模拟通常用于复杂系统的设计,因为它们允许探索设计空间,而无需构建多个原型。多年来,模拟精度以及相关的计算成本显着增加,限制了设计过程中的模拟总数。因此,Metomodeling旨在通过廉价评估数学近似来估计仿真响应,从一系列有限的模拟器评估中学到。现在,使用静止内核的基于内核的方法是非常使用的。然而,使用用于非静止响应的固定内核可能是不合适的,并且在与顺序设计结合时可能导致较差的模型。我们介绍了一种新的基于内核的技术,称为深层高斯过程,更能够应对这些困难。我们评估了一系列现实问题的非稳定性回归的方法,表明它与静止内核的标准高斯流程表现出优于标准高斯过程。

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