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TIME SERIES FORECAST WITH ELMAN NEURAL NETWORKS AND GENETIC ALGORITHMS

机译:与Elman神经网络和遗传算法的时间序列预测

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This chapter investigates into recursive neural networks and their application in time series forecast. As one of the most popular recurrent neural networks, an Elman neural network is studied in this chapter. It has been proven that the Elman network is able to approximate the trajectory of a given dynamic system for any fixed length of time. This ability is explored in the area of time series forecasting. The electricity market demand signal, as a typical time series, is studied in the chapter with Elman networks. In order to obtain the best available optimal weight allocation, a Genetic Algorithm (GA) is used to train the recurrent neural networks in the forecast model. The forecast simulation is carried out on electricity market load data series with Elman networks as well as GA trained Elman networks to compare their performance.
机译:本章调查递归神经网络及其在时间序列预测中的应用。 作为最受欢迎的经常性神经网络之一,在本章中研究了Elman神经网络。 已经证明,ELMAN网络能够近似于给定动态系统的轨迹,以进行任何固定的时间长度。 在时间序列预测领域探讨了这种能力。 作为典型时间序列,电力市场需求信号是在埃尔曼网络的章节中研究的。 为了获得最佳的最佳重量分配,遗传算法(GA)用于培训预测模型中的经常性神经网络。 预测模拟与Elman网络的电力市场负载数据系列进行,以及GA培训的ELMAN网络以比较它们的性能。

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