As a tool to reduce the risks of innovation at the machine-building enterprises the authors suggest a new methodology aimed at point-based assessment of innovation risks.However,the experts are more likely to give interval estimates when assessing the risks of innovation.To work with interval estimates,a new software system was developed.The authors suggest using a market model that assumes a division of risks into systematic and non-systematic and allows to take into account the effect of diversification of the innovative portfolio of the machine-building enterprise.The steps of the methodology and its approbation on the data on innovative projects of one of Russian Federal Space Agency(Roskosmos)enterprises are presented in the paper.
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