Creating Intersectoral Economic Models Based on Multi-agent and Linear Programming Approaches: Methods and Software Tool--Medium-term forecasts for both sustainable economic development and crisis periods

摘要

The paper describes models and software tool for the medium-term forecasts for the Russian economic development based on dynamical intersectoral balance. Two types of models are considered. Optimization models allow decision makers to assess the possibility to achieve required objectives and build optimal plans for the economic and social development. Multi-agent models allow estimating the impact of particular decisions on the economic development; these models are applicable for both sustainable economic development and crisis periods. Software tool Master provides non-programmers with easy to use modelling tools for both types of models.