Models for assessing the impact of interregional interaction effects on the level of the EU countries' financial security

摘要

In the conditions of increasing financial turbulence, permanently recurring crises, the problem of ensuring the macro-regions financial security is of particular importance. One of the directions of improving financial security systems is the development of a model basis for assessing, analyzing and forecasting the level of financial security, allowing early diagnosis of factors destabilizing the financial systems functioning and developing preventive strategies aimed at preventing financial crises and disasters. In the structure of such a model basis, models for assessing the impact of interregional interaction effects on the level of macro-regions financial security are highlighted. To build models, methods of factorial, canonical analysis, a taxonomic indicator of the level of development, methods of spatial econometrics, model of panel data were used. The models were built on the data of financial security indicators of the EU countries. The obtained results can be used by the financial stability departments to determine the most probable channels of infection by the crisis, to develop the adequate mechanisms for financial stabilization.