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Uncertainty Quantification with the Event-by-Event Fission Model FREYA

机译:逐步裂变模型Freya的不确定性量化

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In the absence of high quality uncertainty information on nuclear data, uncertainty information generated by FREYA may be useful in providing quantitative uncertainty estimates in both experimental studies and in calculations performed by particle transport codes. On the experimental side, the generated covanance data can be used to propagate uncertainties in calculations and assays. In addition, source term neutron and gamma energy and multiplicity information can be generated by FREYA in particle transport simulations which produce full statistical distributions. Varying parameters around their best fit values can help understand systematic uncertainties in the output. The optimal minimization method is under study Once the method has been chosen, values of the best fit parameters and their associated uncertainties will be determined for (252)~Cf, as well as for the other nuclides available in FREYA.
机译:在没有高质量的核数据的不确定性信息的情况下,Freya产生的不确定性信息可用于在粒子传输码进行的实验研究中提供定量不确定性估计。在实验侧,所产生的CoVanance数据可用于在计算和测定中传播不确定性。另外,可以通过产生完整统计分布的粒子传输模拟中的Freya生成源术语中子和伽马能量和多重信息。围绕其最佳拟合值的不同参数可以帮助了解输出中的系统不确定性。在选择方法后,正在研究最佳最小化方法,最佳拟合参数及其相关的不确定性的值将用于(252)〜CF,以及在Freya中可用的其他核素。

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