Methods of Traffic Demand Forecast on Tourism Highway

摘要

Tourism traffic forecast is the foundation for the planning and construction of tourism highway and supporting facilities. By analyzing the characteristics of tourism traffic, we divided the tourism traffic into two parts: tourism traffic and background traffic. For tourism traffic forecast, we need to consider the characteristics of the tourism trips, tourism attraction capacity and tourism impedance as important factors. On this basis, we improved the Four-steps Method containing traffic generation, trip distribution, modal split and traffic assignment in the network, and computed the traffic volume of tourism highway. Conventional method of traffic demand forecast is used to calculate the background traffic volume. All traffic volume on tourism highway is composed of tourism traffic volume and background traffic volume.