Integral Estimate of the Tourist Potential by Knowledge Compilation Based on Expert and Consumer Preferences

摘要

The concept of a combined system for assessing and ranking of the regions relative to the levels of development of their tourism potentials is proposed.This concept is based on the compilation of knowledge presented in the form of expert and consumer assessments of heterogeneous natural, cultural and historic, and socio-economic indicators.Within the framework of this system, it is proposed to compile the expert-consumer assessments in the fuzzy information environment using the fuzzy inference system and fuzzy maxmin convolution method.The assessment results obtained for various scenarios of the tourist potential of hypothetical regions in the form of acquired knowledge can be compiled using a three-layer feedforward neural network.After the necessary training on various scenarios of the tourist potential, the feedforward neural network turns into a universal assessment mechanism and it is able to induce an integral estimation of the tourism potential for any region given by itself indicators.