Import Substitution as a Strategy for the New Industrialization of the Russian Agricultural Sector in the Eurasian Economic Union

摘要

The paper analyzes the mechanism for implementing the policy of import substitution, as one of the instruments of the strategy of the new industrialization of the agro-industrial complex of Russia, through the prism of the conflict of national trade interests in the agrarian market of the Eurasian economic union (EAEU). The paper presents possible scenarios for the implementation of the policy of import substitution in the agro-industrial complex of Russia at the national and regional levels, attempts to explain the mechanism of the current scenario, which is a symbiosis of the national and regional levels of the implementation of the new industrialization in the agricultural sector. Attention is paid to the theoretical understanding of the customs effects arising in the process of implementation at the national level of the trade and customs policy of the embargo of food products in the absence of support for the embargo from countries, Russian partners in the EAEU. An assessment is made of the impact of these customs effects on the efficiency of import substitution and new industrialization in the Russian agro-industrial complex, taking into account the factor of re-export of sanctioned agricultural products to Russia from other EAEU countries.