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An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship Between China's Economic Growth and the Stock Market

机译:中国经济增长与股市关系的实证分析

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This article mainly uses econometric methods such as cointegration tests, variance decomposition to make an empirical study the relationship on the growth of GDP and the stock market. The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the growth of GDP and the stock market after the seasonally adjusted, and there is a Granger causality between GDP and the stock market turnover. The change of GDP will cause the change of the turnover of the stock market; the variance from GDP is greater than the stock market turnover. The GDP growth has a guiding role in the development and promotion of the stock futures market.
机译:本文主要采用经济学方法,如协整试验,方差分解,使实证研究成为GDP和股市增长的关系。结果表明,在季节性调整后GDP和股票市场的增长与股票市场之间存在长期均衡关系,并在GDP和股票市场营业额之间存在格兰杰因果关系。 GDP的变化将导致股票市场的营业额的变化; GDP的差异大于股票市场营业额。 GDP增长在股票期货市场的发展和促进方面具有指导作用。

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