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A Resolution to Stock Price Prediction by Developing ANN-Based Models Using PCA

机译:使用PCA开发基于ANN的模型的股票价格预测分辨率

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The application of artificial neural network (ANN) has become quite ubiquitous in numerous disciplines with different motivations and approaches. One of the most contemporary implementations accounts it for stock price behavior analysis and forecasting. The stochastic behavior of stock market follows numerous factors to determine the price vicissitudes such as GDP, supply and demand, political influences, finance, and many more. In this paper, we have considered two ANN techniques, viz., backpropagation-based neural network (BPNN) and radial basis function network (RBFN), first, without principal component analysis (PCA), and further modified the model with PCA, to execute financial time series forecasting for the next 5 days (which can also be extended for some other number of days) by accepting the input as historical data on the sliding window basis. Moreover, the empirical research is conducted to verify the forecasting impact on the stock prices for oil and natural gas sector in India with the developed model, and subsequently a comparison study has also been performed for the effectiveness of the two models without and with PCA, on the basis of mean square percentage error.
机译:人工神经网络(ANN)在具有不同动机和方法的许多学科中变得非常无处不在。最具同时的实现之一账户股票价格行为分析和预测。股票市场的随机行为遵循众多因素,以确定GDP,供需,政治影响,金融等价格的沧桑等价格。在本文中,我们考虑了两个ANN技术,VIZ,基于BackProjagation的神经网络(BPNN)和径向基函数网络(RBFN),首先,没有主成分分析(PCA),并进一步用PCA修改模型,到通过在滑动窗口的基础上接受输入作为历史数据,执行未来5天的财务时间序列预测(其也可以延长其他数天数)。此外,该经验研究是为了验证印度石油和天然气部门股票价格的预测对发达模型的影响,随后还针对两种模型的有效性进行了比较研究,而没有PCA,基于均方百分比误差。

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